Friday, June 3, 2011

Gainesville & Hall County Real Estate:  Our Community is Stronger!

The Abernathy Cochran Group of The Norton Agency has reported on the residential real estate market in Hall County several times over the last two years.  In 2010, Hall County homes sold better (as a percentage increase in number of sales year to year) than our neighboring counties, the counties of metro Atlanta, the State of Georgia, and the Nation.

The 2011 Market is showing strength for Hall County.  So far, as of the end of May, Hall continues to sell more homes (year over year) than those around us!

We researched several areas looking for the number of home sales from January 1st to May 31st, in 2009, 2010, and 2011, and the trends in number of sales year over year.  These areas saw the following percentage increase or decrease in number of home sales from 2009 to 2010; and from 2010 to 2011:

Area                Change ‘09 to ’10                               Change ’10 to ‘11
Barrow            +16.2%                                                -12.6%
Jackson            +13.8%                                                -20.9%
Dawson           +39.6%                                                -17.6%
Fulton              -17.4%                                                 -9.2%
Dekalb             -4.6%                                                   -14.4%
Hall                  +28.8%                                                +12.3%
Forsyth            +23.1%                                                +9.5%
Gwinnett         +7.9%                                                  +7.8%
Cobb                +15.2%                                                +1.8%
State of Georgia   +3.8%                                            -3.4%
(Data Source: GAMLS) 

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The national media has reported stories over the last several months that have included our community.  One national publication praised Gainesville for a rise in the average home value.  Another national publication is now showing that this area is still losing value, and said the words “double dip”.  Our analysis shows that the studies are comparing quarters in different parts of the year.  Who knows what they are selling.  The national publications do not know much about what is actually happening on the street, in our local market.  We do.

The truth about the condition of our local real estate market is in the data.  While the average home sale price in Hall County is still falling, the trend is slowing considerably.  The average home sales price for the first 5 months of the year:
Rose    +7.8% from 2006 to 2007;
Fell      -7.3%   from 2007 to 2008;
Fell      -19.5% from 2008 to 2009;
Fell      -10.5% from 2009 to 2010;
Fell      -5.1%   from 2010 to 2011. (Data Source:  GAMLS)

One of the major reasons we are seeing lower average home sale prices in Hall County can be attributed to the actions of a handful of troubled banks.  Some banks have taken back small homes, many of which were owned by investors and used as rental properties.  These banks are selling these properties for very little to get rid of them.  In 2006, during the first five months of the year 12 houses sold for less than $50,000. In the first five months of 2011 there have been 125 houses sell for less than $50,000.  This is a jump of 941.7%!  This alone has an enormous impact on the average sales price.

Don’t pay much attention to those that say “double dip recession” and “ring of death”.  The truth is that our market is getting better.  The strongest real estate markets in the Atlanta Metropolitan Area, and quite possibly the entire state of Georgia, are Hall, Forsyth, Gwinnett, and Cobb.  Of these four counties, Hall County is leading in year over year sales increases.  We know why we love it here.  There is not a better place to call home. 

We know our local market.  Call us anytime when you need the services of a local expert in Real Estate.  Things are getting better!  Have a fantastic week!


R. Brad Abernathy  |  Regina Cochran
Abernathy Cochran Group Real Estate
The Norton Agency
770-718-5255

Thursday, April 7, 2011

First Quarter Hall County Real Estate Analysis.

The first quarter of 2011 is now over.  The Hall County Real Estate market is doing very well for the year so far.  According to GAMLS statistics the number of single family home sales in Hall County for the first quarter of 2011 increased 4.8% over the same time period in 2010 (in 2010 we had the advantage of the Federal Home Buying Tax Credit).  To be beating the sales numbers from last year proves our real estate market is gaining more strength and stability.

How does Hall County's home sale numbers look compared to other years? 
2011's First Quarter beat 2010 by 4.8%.
2011's First Quarter beat 2009 by 35%.
2011's First Quarter beat 2008 by 20.4%.

Jim Woods wrote an article earlier this year for The Wall Street Journal's Digital Network where he stated:  "If you're a long term investor looking to put money to work, now is really not the time to get into stocks, precious metals, or agricultural commodities.  However, with home sales starting to improve, and with prices now possibly forming a bottom, real estate could well be the asset class that represents the best low-risk buying opportunity out there today....Yes, mortgage rates still are near historical lows, but if we see these rates rise, then the cost of a new home could climb significantly. So, now could really be the best time to pull the trigger on that home purchase - and it could also be your best investment right now."

Shawn Tully, Senior Editor for Fortune, wrote this in an article last week:  "After four years of plunging home prices, the most attractive asset class in America is housing.  Let's state it simply and forcibly:  Housing is back.  Two basic factors are laying the foundation for dramatic recovery in residential real estate.  The first is the historic drop in new construction...The second is a steep decline in prices, on the order of 30% nationwide since 2006, and as much as 55% in the hardest-hit markets.  The story of this downturn has been an astonishing flight from the tradtional American approach of buying new houses to an embrace of renting.  But the new affordability will gradually lure Americans back to buying homes.  And the return of the homeowner will start raising prices in many markets this year."

Things are getting better in Real Estate, especially here in Hall County.  We are even seeing good rates and terms for jumbo mortgage lending.  Call us anytime.  We are here to help you.

R. Brad Abernathy
Abernathy Cochran Group